Will there be a substantive political breakthrough in the on-off-on again peace talks between the Thai state and Patani Malay nationalists?
Would Patani nationalists accept anything less than total political separation from Thailand after 109 years of socio-political turmoil under the Thai yoke? Would Thai hardliners tolerate even a mild semblance of self-governance, not even autonomy, and let alone independence for the Patani Region? Where will be the practical point of compromise, or are the two sides irreconcilable in their narrative of and approach to the conflict?
Or perhaps a point of convergence would be forged by the two sides as their respective societies find the conflict's current trajectory socially, economically and politically untenable.
Excellent piece below by Anthony Davis, security analyst for IHS-Jane’s:-
An Asia Times Online Exclusive
April 6, 2011
Thai peace talks come to light
By Anthony Davis
BANGKOK - After six years of secret contacts disrupted by political turmoil and mutual distrust, high-level peace talks aimed at addressing the roots of Thailand's bitter Malay-Muslim insurgency are moving into a more open and substantive phase.
Senior negotiators from both the Thai government and separatist sides of the conflict expressed optimism in recent interviews that key issues should now be tabled, while conceding that the secrecy and denial that have shrouded the talks to date have outlived their usefulness.
For the rest of the story, go here.